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Though late-season storms normally head for Florida, scientists won't rule out another hit on the Gulf Coast.
 
Meteorologists examining the conditions that spawned hurricanes Rita and Katrina say there is a strong likelihood that another intense hurricane will occur in October.

And while late-season storms tend to track eastward toward Florida or don't make landfall at all, the experts don't rule out the possibility of another major storm targeting the battered Gulf Coast.

Researchers also warn that the country should brace for 10 to 40 more years of powerful storms because of a natural ocean cycle in the midst of the most active hurricane period on record.

"This has been the seventh hyperactive year since 1995," Stan Goldenberg, a meteorologist with the Hurricane Research Division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said this month. "Not every year is going to be like this one, but there's going to be plenty of active years to come."

The hurricane season does not end until Nov. 30, and a forecast group is predicting that October will see two hurricanes, one of them reaching Category 3, 4 or 5. The chance of that storm making landfall in the United States is estimated at 21%, said Philip J. Klotzbach, a member of the tropical storm forecasting team led by William M. Gray of Colorado State University.

Klotzbach's forecast does not address where hurricanes make landfall or whether the Gulf Coast could be hit again. "It's a tricky business tracking where these storms are going to go," he said. "That's governed a lot more by day-to-day weather."

Goldenberg said he "would not be surprised" if the Gulf Coast was hit again, because the same conditions that nudged Rita and Katrina toward the region are in place. Goldenberg, who helps develop NOAA's early-season forecasts, said he expected at least one to three more storms, including a major hurricane. Hurricane forecasters have their eye on a weather disturbance in the tropics that "could be Hurricane Stan," he added.

"This season is not over," said Goldenberg, whose Florida home was destroyed by Hurricane Andrew in 1992. "If I was in the Gulf Coast right now, I'd prepare. Even a tropical storm could do a lot of damage."

Historical patterns show it would be unusual but not impossible for the Gulf Coast to be hit with a major October storm. In the fall, most tropical storms that form near the Bahamas, as Rita and Katrina did, are steered north by weather patterns that deflect them harmlessly out to sea, toward the Bahamas or either coast of Florida, said Christopher W. Landsea, a hurricane researcher with the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

"Texas and Louisiana are at much less risk later in the season," he said.

The Colorado State team bases its forecast on an amalgam of pressures, wind speeds and ocean temperatures from around the globe. The weather experts also rely on a simple rule: "When September is active, October tends to be active," Klotzbach said.

Peak hurricane activity ends by Oct. 10, according to the National Hurricane Center, but big storms can occur later in the season. Hurricane Mitch, a Category 5 storm, caused an estimated 9,000 deaths and left 9,000 people missing when it struck Central America in late October 1998; it hit southern Florida as a tropical storm on Nov. 5 and caused an estimated $40 million in damage.

Even Atlantic hurricanes that morph into monsters, like Katrina, start out as weaklings: mere waves in the atmosphere or feeble weather systems trailing small rainstorms as they drift west across the ocean.

When they hit deep, warm pockets of water, moist ocean air is pulled upward, condensing into clouds and cooling. This movement of air produces gusty winds and thunderstorms. The energy released by the rain is then pumped back up into the clouds, making them rise taller, spin faster and grow into the large cyclonic systems that have become so familiar in recent weeks.

Large patches of warm water are needed to sustain and strengthen hurricanes. The area also must be free of wind shear -- differences in wind speeds at high and low levels of the atmosphere -- which can shred the storm.

Forecasters say the most dreaded storms are "Cape Verde hurricanes." These storms, which begin as atmospheric disturbances flowing off western Africa, form near Cape Verde and often grow massive as they travel across the Atlantic, unimpeded by dry land or cool water. Cape Verde hurricanes usually account for a season's most intense storms; 85% of major Atlantic hurricanes have been of this type.

What was unusual about Rita and Katrina was that they formed close to U.S. shores, near the Bahamas. This means they did not have much time to grow powerful before first hitting land. Both storms swelled to Category 5 in the Gulf of Mexico, where waters are 2 to 3 degrees warmer than normal.

Gerry Bell, the lead scientist for NOAA's hurricane forecast program, said large-scale weather patterns, including a high-pressure system off the eastern United States, created an area of favorable hurricane formation farther west this year. Once the storms formed off the Bahamas, weather patterns that act as "steering currents" pushed them farther west into the Gulf of Mexico and toward Texas and Louisiana. "They really had nowhere else to go," Bell said.

"We saw a similar thing last year when several hurricanes hit Florida," he said. "That was the same thing: a focused steering current."

Bell and fellow forecasters predict that ferocious storms will occur for the next several decades.

They cite a natural ocean cycle called the Atlantic Multi-Decadal scale, which causes weather in the tropical Atlantic to seesaw between cool, windy phases and warm periods with slack winds, spawning frequent, strong hurricanes.

These phases are driven by two massive weather patterns that control monsoon rains over the Amazon and Africa, said Bell.

The continent-sized patterns last for decades and "are so dominant, they control ocean temperature and wind conditions," Bell said.

The historical record shows an active hurricane period during the 1950s and '60s and a lull between 1970 and 1994. Since 1995, hurricane activity has once again been high.

"This is a long-term, active hurricane era," Bell said.

The active period coincides with a global rise in sea temperatures of about 1 degree -- a change most scientists attribute to global warming caused by mankind's production of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide.

Whether global warming is contributing to stronger hurricanes is a subject of intense debate within the scientific community.

Experts on both sides of the debate agree that it will take years to determine what effect global warming may have on future hurricanes.

In the meantime, they are bracing for more storms.

Source: South Florida Sun-Sentinel
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/sfl-928hurricaneforecast,0,1417049.
story?coll=sfla-news-sfla 

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In our time, giants are treated as creatures of fiction. But the people of ancient Scotland thought these leviathans walked the land bringing terror in their wake. These monsters may be long gone from our world but our ancestors' belief in them is evident in their habit of naming places and features in the landscape after them.

Stories of giants are to be found across the world and in most religions. The Bible says of them: "There were giants in the earth in those days; and also after that when the sons of God came unto the daughters of men, and they bare children to them, the same became mighty men of old, which were men of renown (Genesis 6:4)."

Our knowledge of Scottish giants comes to us from folktales, which often featured brutish creatures that terrorised the land with their taste for human flesh. In these stories Scots did not always meekly accept their fate as the main course and legends often tell of how they overcame their giant problems.

One such tale is that of the Ettin of Edin's Hall, who lived on the slopes of Cockburn Law, a hill near Duns in the Scottish Borders. Three young men pledged to kill this three-headed giant, and drew lots to see who would first attempt the task.

The first two men who faced the giant were unprepared by his demands that they answer questions on Scottish history in exchange for their lives. Both men failed, were turned to stone and used by the giant as ornaments.

On his way to attempt the quest, the third man met a hungry old woman. In exchange for a share of his supper she gave him a lesson in history and a bag to be opened only if he was in danger. Thus equipped he successfully answered the questions, but the giant did not honour his promise and tried to kill him anyway. At that moment the hero opened the bag, found a two-headed axe and chopped off the giant's three heads with a single and swift swipe.

Whilst it is easy to dismiss these stories as folktales, it is harder to explain why giant lore is incorporated into the landscape and place names. One clue could be in the common description of many of these sites as graves or cairns (an old Scottish word for a memorial often marking a grave). And where there are graves, archaeologists frequently find bones ??“ as they did at Giant's Graves at Kirkcolm, Galloway, and at Moulin, Pitlochry.

And whilst the abundance of human remains at these places could explain why Scottish giants had such a bloodthirsty reputation, it could not equally explain why people believed giants killed those who rested there. However, there may have been bones alongside these normal skeletons that appeared to be of extraordinary size which may have led them to conclude that the there was a giant afoot.

Gigantism in humans has a long history as does the related condition of acromegaly, when bones thicken due to pituitary gigantis.

"Acromegaly is not a recent phenomenon, that's for sure," confirms Sue Black, a professor of anatomy at Dundee University. "There is reported acromegaly right back into ancient Egyptian times. In terms of recent human remains, we find about one per cent are cases of acromegaly."

Whilst none have been found in ancient bones in Scotland this could be "because we identify so few old skeletons we are just not coming across those remains," Black explains.

Contrary to popular belief, human height has fluctuated throughout history and so bones uncovered by people in the past might have appeared large compared to those who found them.

Recorded changes of height in Britain have been shown by archaeologist Charlotte Roberts, who says: "Agriculture first arrives in Britain in the Neolithic period and disease becomes more prevalent. There is then a decline in the average height of males in the Mesolithic period compared to the previous period."

Pulitzer Prize winning biologist Jared Diamond agrees, telling Discover Magazine in 1987: "Skeletons from Greece and Turkey show that the average height for hunter-gatherers toward the end of the Ice Ages was a generous 5' 9" for men, 5' 5" for women. With the adoption of agriculture, height crashed and by 3000 BC had reached a low of only 5' 3" for men and 5' for women."

But could there have been actual giants among us instead of simply taller people? Modern Scots, as well as our ancestors, have certainly believed they have seen these creatures. Perhaps the most famous sighting of a Scottish giant is one known as the Big Grey Man of Ben MacDui. The first modern account of him belongs to a London professor who felt a giant presence as he climbed Ben MacDui, the second highest peak in Scotland, while on holiday in 1891. Since then other climbers have claimed to have seen the giant on the hill.

All over the world these sorts of strange sightings are not as uncommon as might be expected and giants, or creatures like them, seem to be naturally found on the mountainside. One report in The Scotsman of 2 January 1888 records their sightings in Scotland and across the mountains of Europe in great detail. The report speculates that these sightings may be optical illusions caused by the mountain environment.

So, the answer to the question of whether giants have ever lived in Scotland, given their long history here, might finally turn out to be that it depends on how you look at them.

Our ancient ancestors had much to worry them. They had to find food, build shelter, protect their offspring and most important of all, keep a wary eye out for giants. That's right, back in the deep dark days of yore Scots believed that enormous creatures roamed the land fighting and causing a stramash whenever they could. And although we've long ceased to believe in behemoths, their "presence" is still recorded in the numerous giant place names scattered throughout Scotland.

Long ago, Scots came upon many strange sights in their landscape that could not be easily accounted for. They also found many unnatural structures older than the times they lived in, which we now know to be man-made, that may have seemed beyond their means to build. Perhaps it is understandable that they sought to explain the inexplicable in any way they could.

When people discovered huge stones, immovable by normal men, lying almost abandoned in fields and hills where they obviously did not belong, the only possible explanation must have been a creature huge and strong enough to deposit them there. Samson, known in folk tales as the strongest giant in Scotland, was one such mischievous titan who delighted in throwing around huge boulders for sport. On the eastern slope of Ben Ledi, a hill near Callander, a large boulder known as his "putting stone" is said to be the remnants of one of his games.

As well as playthings, boulders were also the weapons of choice for many giants as they engaged in another of their favourite sports: feuding. Legend tells of how a trio of giants who lived in the hills of Torvean, Dunain and Craig Phadrick around Inverness hefted massive stone hammers at each other from dawn to midday. Boulders, which still sit in the fields around these hills today, were said to be the missiles they used to battle with each other. Even more dangerous to the people who lived beside them, were the Gaelic giants who lived in the hills around Munlochy Bay in the Ross and Cromarty area of the Highlands who were said to have thrown gargantuan battle-axes at each other from their strongholds.

Giants did not only heave gigantic missiles at each other in anger but also at people who provoked their wrath. The giant of Norman's Law in Fife, known in legend as the Earl of Hell, is said to have hurled a boulder at the people of Dundee across the River Tay. The boulder fell short and crashed against the Law Hill where it still rests.

However, the most famous story of how giants came to shape the landscape is found a short distance across the Irish Sea from Scotland. The legend of the Giant's Causeway in what is now Northern Ireland recounts the tale of an Irish giant, Finn MacCool, who heard a Scottish rival, Benandonner, insult his manhood from across the water and set about building a bridge of stone across the sea to uphold his honour. Science now tells us that this bridge, which allegedly spanned the sea from Giant's Causeway to Fingal's Cave, was formed from volcanic eruptions 65 million years ago. Yet who amongst us would not prefer the story of fighting giants!

Since the people of Scotland once imagined that giants lived in their country it is natural that they believed these creatures died here too. At least 20 giants' graves are visible from the far south to the northernmost outposts of Scotland. They can be found in Stanstig in Shetland, near Kilchattan on the island of Colonsay, in Sma'glen in Perthshire, and near Kirkcolm in Dumfries and Galloway. Archaeological excavation has shown that many of these sites are indeed burial mounds dating from the Stone Age to the Bronze Age. Bones have been unearthed at many of these sites, although the largest have only been of average height.

Ancient monuments and ruins were often thought to be the work of Scottish giants. Those who lived beside the remains of the Neolithic stone circles of Scotland might have believed that only a giant's strength could move these huge obelisks. Two such monuments that can still be visited today are the Giant's Cairn at Old Deer, Aberdeenshire, and the Giant's Stanes in Eskdalemuir in the Scottish Borders. Legend also has it that the columns of Scotland's most famous stone circle, the Callanish Stones on the Isle of Lewis, are the bodies of giants turned to stone by St Kieran for disobeying the teachings of Christianity.

Similarly, hill-forts from the Bronze Age and before, now reduced to mounds of earth by the passage of time, were thought to be the homes of giants. A three-headed giant known as the Ettin of Edin's Hall was said to have lived in an old hill-fort on the north-eastern slopes of Cockburn Law, a hill near Duns in the Scottish Borders.

Today it seems quaint that our forebears imagined the huge presence of giants in their midst. Yet who's to say that for all our so-called scientific knowledge, in hundreds of years time, our descendants will look back at how we made sense of the world and find us just as ridiculous.

Source: Scotsman
http://heritage.scotsman.com/myths.cfm?id=1841012005 

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   - TALES OF THE BRINEY DEEP DEPARTMENT -

   'Milky Seas' Detected From Space

Mariners over the centuries have reported surreal, nocturnal displays of glowing sea surfaces stretching outwards to the horizon.

Little is known about these "milky seas" other than that they are probably caused by luminous bacteria.

But the first satellite detection of this strange phenomenon in the Indian Ocean may now aid future research.

The observation is described by a US team in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

The glowing sea covered an area of 15,400 sq km - about the size of the US state of Connecticut - and was observed over three consecutive nights, with the first night corroborated by a ship-based account.

The scientists analysed data from satellites fitted with special sensors.

These are normally used for detecting moonlight reflections off clouds about one million times fainter than the Sun - but milky seas emit light even fainter than this.

The team searched ship reports for suitable events to match with the archived satellite data.

A reported sighting in the north-western Indian Ocean on 25 January 1995 by a British merchant vessel, the SS Lima, met the criteria.

Despite the weak signal, the researchers were able to see a distinct feature in the satellite imagery.

"I overlaid the points of the ship they reported when they were in it, and when they left it - and they matched up," Dr Steve Miller, from the Naval Research Laboratory in California, told the BBC News website.

The area continued to glow for three nights, and its movements correlated with known sea surface currents.

The next generation of satellite sensors will be even more sensitive, enabling scientists to send out research vessels to investigate these milky seas as they occur.

"Maybe we'll be able to detect these more often, more reliably, and in locations we don't anticipate right now," said Dr Miller.

Milky seas are distinct from the brief flashes of bioluminescence seen at ships' wakes, or breaking waves, which are caused by microscopic algae called dinoflagellates.

Instead, the constant light emitted over a wide area probably comes from the luminous bacteria Vibrio harveyi, living in association with microalgal blooms.

The team was able to estimate of the number of bacteria that the observed area would have contained - an abnormally "giant" population.

"To put it into context, it's about 200 times more than the number of background, free-living bacteria that are spread over the continental shelf waters of all the oceans," said Dr Miller.

There have been 235 documented sightings of milky seas since 1915 - mainly concentrated in the north-western Indian Ocean and near Java, Indonesia.

- ARMED AND DANGEROUS DEPARTMENT -

Flipper the Firing Dolphin let Loose by Katrina

It may be the oddest tale to emerge from the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. Armed dolphins, trained by the US military to shoot terrorists and pinpoint spies underwater, may be missing in the Gulf of Mexico.

Experts who have studied the US navy's cetacean training exercises claim the 36 mammals could be carrying 'toxic dart' guns. Divers and surfers risk attack, they claim, from a species considered to be among the planet's smartest. The US navy admits it has been training dolphins for military purposes, but has refused to confirm that any are missing.

Dolphins have been trained in attack-and-kill missions since the Cold War. The US Atlantic bottlenose dolphins have apparently been taught to shoot terrorists attacking military vessels. Their coastal compound was breached during the storm, sweeping them out to sea. But those who have studied the controversial use of dolphins in the US defence programme claim it is vital they are caught quickly.

Leo Sheridan, 72, a respected accident investigator who has worked for government and industry, said he had received intelligence from sources close to the US government's marine fisheries service confirming dolphins had escaped.

'My concern is that they have learnt to shoot at divers in wetsuits who have simulated terrorists in exercises. If divers or windsurfers are mistaken for a spy or suicide bomber and if equipped with special harnesses carrying toxic darts, they could fire,' he said. 'The darts are designed to put the target to sleep so they can be interrogated later, but what happens if the victim is not found for hours?'

Usually dolphins were controlled via signals transmitted through a neck harness. 'The question is, were these dolphins made secure before Katrina struck?' said Sheridan.

The mystery surfaced when a separate group of dolphins was washed from a commercial oceanarium on the Mississippi coast during Katrina. Eight were found with the navy's help, but the dolphins were not returned until US navy scientists had examined them.

Sheridan is convinced the scientists were keen to ensure the dolphins were not the navy's, understood to be kept in training ponds in a sound in Louisiana, close to Lake Pontchartrain, whose waters devastated New Orleans.

The navy launched the classified Cetacean Intelligence Mission in San Diego in 1989, where dolphins, fitted with harnesses and small electrodes planted under their skin, were taught to patrol and protect Trident submarines in harbour and stationary warships at sea.

Criticism from animal rights groups ensured the use of dolphins became more secretive. But the project gained impetus after the Yemen terror attack on the USS Cole in 2000. Dolphins have also been used to detect mines near an Iraqi port.

On Monday evening, however, the Pentagon actually issued a statement saying all of its dolphins have been accounted for.  Moreover, the DOD says its dolphins aren't trained to attack, just to look for "objects" with their diver companions.  Plus, they have no dolphin units in Louisiana, only in San Diego.

Moby Solangi, the president of Marine Life Oceanarium in Gulfport, Miss., which rescued several of its dolphins in the Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Katrina, discounts the story.

"The story sounds like something from  the "X-Files."  If I'd known, we probably would be running away from our own dolphins. These animals are trained.  It's common knowledge, underwater mines and divers.  But I think darts and all that is a little bit too far."

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