INVESTICA LTD
Understanding Markets
Daily market newsletter: 27th June 2006
Tough ECB talk
ECB officials have
continued to take a tough stance on monetary policy over the past 24
hours. Belgian central bank governor Quaden stated that the ECB could
increase rates again as early as the first week of August teleconference
rather than at the regular council meeting later in the month.
European Central
Bank governing council member Nicholas Garganas was quoted on Tuesday as
saying that the bank was ready to increase rates aggressively to counter
inflationary risks and also warned that the ECB would not necessarily
stick with 0.25% rate increases. The Euro-zone money supply and lending
data will be watched closely on Thursday and another strong set of data
would reinforce ECB concerns over inflationary pressure.
Meanwhile, the
German IFO index was also stronger than expected with a rise to 106.8 in
June from 105.7 in May and the resilience in the face of higher interest
rates and energy costs will boost confidence that the Euro-zone economy
can cope with further monetary tightening.
There will be
increased market speculation that Euro rates could be increased as early
as July and there will also be speculation over a 0.5% increase which
will offer background support to the Euro.
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