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Subject: [India Thinkers Net]The millions who cannot vote - March16, 2004





The millions who cannot vote

By P. Sainath

By having elections in April when millions of the
poor migrate in search of work, we are simply
excluding an ever-growing number of citizens from
the vote.


MILLIONS OF Indians who really want to vote in
this election will not. The rural poor, far more
than the chattering classes, are the pillars of
our electoral system. The vote is the one
instrument of democracy they get to exercise. And
they do that with telling effect, often using it
to go out and change governments. This time, many
of them cannot vote. The timing of the polls
ensures that. It is in April-May that quite a few
distressed regions see their largest exodus of
migrant labour.

Millions will be out of their constituencies,
seeking work to survive. These are not people who
can send in postal ballots. Most cannot afford to
return for the polls. If you are a worker from
Orissa at a construction site in Mumbai, it is
hard for you to vote in this season. (Someone
else might vote for you while you are away -
though not for the party of your choice). This is
one result of early Lok Sabha polls.

Sure, migrations are not new. That's all the more
reason we should take them into account. They
have been around long enough for us to know
better. It's important, though, that distress
migrations have risen since the early 1990s. And
exploded since the late 1990s, with the collapse
of rural employment.

Long before the migrations swelled to an exodus,
the National Commission on Rural Labour found
(1991) there were "more than 10 million circular
migrants in the rural areas alone. These include
an estimated 4.5 million inter-State migrants and
six million intra-State migrants." And the NCRL
report is outdated. It was in the 1990s that the
numbers began to grow as never before.

Both the Census and the National Sample Survey
Organisation grossly underestimate short-term
migration. (Ironically, in 2001, such migration
was so high in western Orissa, it distorted even
the main Census headcount in some parts.)

NSS data have drawn on a strange definition of
`last usual place of residence' of a migrant.
That is: "the village where the person has stayed
continuously for at least six months immediately
prior to moving to the present village/town,"
where the person is counted. (NSS 43rd round.)

This excludes millions locked into endless
step-by-step migrations. People who may not be
anywhere for six months. Footloose migrants who
are almost always on the move, from place to
place, just to survive. But the Census and the
NSSO see migration as a single-shot event. Not as
a process. So the many moves the migrants make
are never captured.

Take the months of April-May last year. Close to
two million Oriyas were out of their State
looking for work. An underestimate, but it still
gives you an idea. Very few, though, were off for
six months at a stretch. Barely any were home for
six months at a stretch. Lakhs of people from
just the three districts of Nuapada, Kalahandi
and Bolangir were out. Just for the season.
Pulling rickshaws in Raipur. Slaving at brick
kilns in Vizianagaram. Working at great risk on
high-rise buildings in Mumbai. The same migrants
could be elsewhere at another stage of the same
season. The way we define them gives us no clear
idea of their numbers. Nor of how many of them
are denied the vote as a result. We do know the
figures are in millions. And rising.

The devastation of agriculture in the last decade
makes the problem more acute. Zero investment,
collapse of employment, a rise in debt - all are
factors that have pushed millions more into the
footloose army. At the same time, the towns and
cities can absorb far fewer of them. There is
much less work there, too. So the pressure on the
migrants to keep moving only gets worse. Which
means they go in for more and more short-term,
footloose journeys in search of work.

Meanwhile, this year, we already have The Hindu
(Feb. 28) reporting thousands of adivasis in
Bolangir leaving their homes "for survival."
That's in February. What could it be like by
April-May? Can these people vote?

In that season last year, I boarded a bus for
Mumbai from Mahbubnagar in Telangana. The idea
was to join the migrants leaving the district in
despair and hunger. Whole villages had seen more
than two-thirds of their residents leave, looking
for work. Only the very old and some young
remained. Every traveller on that bus was a
migrant wanting work - or a child of such
migrants. Every bus on the route (with 58 seats),
carried up to 100 passengers or more. The season
brought record revenues for the Andhra Pradesh
State Roadways and Transport Corporation there -
on one-way tickets (most went back in under six
months, though. Only to move out again in their
quest for survival.)

Buses plying that route went up from one a week
11 years ago - to close to 40 a week last year.
At the same time, all three trains from the
region ferried out tens of thousands more. The
biggest group leaving were Lambada adivasis deep
in debt. Followed by poor Dalits. (The Hindu
Sunday Magazine, June 1, 2003.) This was just the
Mumbai route. People from here go to 30 other
destinations ranging from Gujarat to Rajasthan.
In one estimate, over eight lakh people from
Mahbubnagar were outside the district by April.
Could they vote in such a season?

This year, one estimate looks at just Kurnool
district. "Over three lakh agricultural labourers
have migrated to Guntur, Cuddapah, Hyderabad and
other places of the State in search of work
during the lean season." (Frontline Feb. 28-March
12.) Again, that is a February figure. What will
it be by April? What's more - it is migration
within the State. That too prevents many from
voting. People from, say, Ramanathapuram, move to
other parts of Tamil Nadu during April-May. Many
leave the State as well. Either way, they mostly
cannot vote.

In late April, there will be Biharis still in
Punjab or Assam. Oriyas in Andhra Pradesh,
Gujarat and Chhattisgarh. People from Tamil Nadu
on the road crews of Mumbai. Workers from
Rajasthan struggling in Gujarat. Those from north
Karnataka scouring Maharashtra. Adivasis from
Madhya Pradesh in the brick kilns of Haryana.
That's an incomplete list. In April-May, there
will be countless millions of them. Forced to
scrape out a living away from home.

Yet those at the bottom do want to vote. Malari
village in Ghazipur, Uttar Pradesh, rubbed that
in during the 1998 polls. All communities had
their voting booths within a few minutes of their
homes. Except the Dalits of Malari. For them, the
officials had set up a booth four km away. All
vehicular traffic was banned on election day.
Even cycles. No transport - and a booth so far
away? This was meant to discourage them. But it
didn't work.

Of Malari's 219 Dalit voters listed at this
booth, nearly all turned out. The young assisted
the old. A few in their Seventies made that
four-km trek across the fields to vote. On
arrival, some found they had "already voted." The
upper castes had saved them the trouble. Yet the
rest voted and the basti rejoiced - a triumph of
the human spirit and democracy. That was in
mid-February.

But how many can make that trip in late-April
2004? Will the young be around to assist the old?
How many would have left the district, searching
for work during the lean months? How many of
their votes will be cast by others? In some
places, there has been `heavy voting' when no one
is around.

Migrant workers tend to be concentrated in some
clusters of villages within certain districts. So
their absence in large numbers can strongly
affect some seats. In a closely-fought election,
they could make a crucial difference. Besides,
they want to vote. Many have strong political
opinions and clear ideas on whom they would vote
for. But too often, they will tell you with
regret, they were away and could not cast that
ballot.

How can this be resolved?

We do take school exam schedules into account
while planning election dates. And rightly so.
(Even though those schedules are still based more
on a British school calendar than on the Indian
agriculture season.) Shouldn't we, likewise, take
the survival schedules of millions of poor
Indians into account?

The time every rural Indian is most likely to be
in his or her village is during the harvest
season. That is their best chance of being
present to vote. So, maybe, we need to weave
election schedules with regional harvest
schedules. Claims that people "are too busy" in
this period help the landlords, not the workers.
We are simply excluding an ever-growing number of
citizens from the vote.

Millions of poor Indians have already voted -
with their feet. They've left their homes in
despair. Forced by a system that causes them such
distress. One that tries, at every turn, to
disable them and curb their democratic rights. In
the process, they lose the vote. The one tool
they treasure in fighting that system. By denying
them that, we undermine them, ourselves, and
democracy too.

The Hindu ,March 15, 2004









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