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| << May14, 2004 - [India Thinkers Net]VAJPAYEE TRAMPLED BY BULLOCK CART ECONOMY |
May15, 2004 - [India Thinkers Net]A CONGRESS-COMMUNIST COALITION AUGURS WELL FOR ALL >> |
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From: "Rahul" <rbhimjianidvp@hotmail.com> Date: Fri May 14, 2004 Subject: Midnight Musings Midnight Musings The election results show, with a few notable exceptions, an all India trend, cutting across rich and poor states, cities, towns and villages. And the name of the trend is: tread softly, for your tread on my dreams and my dignity A lot of people are happy that there are no saffron sympathisers to shield the goons in U.P. and murderers in Gujarat. However, the saffron mafia will be far less restrained than before, thus leading to heightening of ethnic tensions in the country. To counterbalance this feeling of being too soft with Muslims, there may be a slowdown of progress on sorting out issues with Pakistan and Bangladesh. This is liable to lead to resurgence of underground activities in Kashmir and Assam. And to keep things in balance, for similar reasons, Narendra Modi, and his mentor Advani is unlikely to see the insides of a jail, let alone the gallows they so richly deserve. Vajpayee will continue his teflon journey, remaining personally unstained due to occasional agonised musings, despite condoning these criminal actions by not taking action against them. He may however become a poetic but semi-marginalised leader of the opposition. It is quite possible however that a more aggressive person will be chosen for the purpose, now that Vajpayee has outlived his utility of projecting the moderate face of saffron criminals. Many of the Congress break-aways will die down, or merge with the Congress, now that its credibility has been reestablished. This consolidation of the traditional mainstream vote is liable to make it much more difficult for the BJP to return to power. Its last innings will thus be like the much-needed vaccination, which gives a (not-so-)mild fever to guard the body politic on a long-term basis against virulent social disease. As to whether this will be institutionalised by rebuilding the Congress cadre to its pre- independence glory remains to be seen, but is doubtful. A separate state of Telengana is surely on the cards. And since Hyderabad lies there, the decades long drain of its wealth to Coastal Andhra will cease. And if that happens, Vidarbha will surely follow, freeing it from the decades-old rape by the sugar lobby of Western and Central Maharashtra. When both these happen together, Naxalism in central India is likely to sharply reduce. The further sub-division of UP may however not occur due to the ruling combine's dependence on support from UP fixtures. It is not just logical in view of its mammoth size and thus weak administration, but long awaited by the rest of the country to rid it of UPs eternal domination, and resource diversion. The neo-Emergency bull-dozing of Delhi slums by Jagmohan and his cronies will come to an end, and may even be reversed. Delhi city is thus liable to become a little less unfriendly for its poor majority, even if the yuppies and puppies may not find this to their taste. The same flavour will be visible in the urban systems interventions being carried out in Mumbai, Bangalore, Hyderabad, Chennai and Pune. The upper middle and upper class minority is going to have to accept the fact that they have no reason for existence other than to provide opportunities for the poor to serve them and thus earn a living. Educational systems are liable to slowly come back to normal, now that the bull-shit in the China shop has been unceremoniously dumped by the electorate. It will however take significant amount of time to repair the damage done over the last few years. And the much- needed liberalisation of education will take a back burner. The neglect of rural areas and agriculture will reduce perhaps, due to non-necessity to pamper the saffron constituency of small-time small-town traders on one hand and rootless big-city yuppies on the other. However, due to presence of the Left in the Government, reforms may slow down and in fact reverse. This is likely to be accentuated by the defeat of so many reformist CMs in the last few months - for reasons which have more to do with the manner in which they marginalised the political and administrative machinery, rather than the intrinsic public perception of reforms as such. The subtle difference will be lost, and the reforms process will slow down. Not by much however, for it springs from a certain inexorable logic which has been in operation since the mid-80s, accelerating in the early '90s, in both cases when Congress Governments were in power. However even this slowdown is likely to hit the poor badly, since they do not have the option to leave the country which the yuppies do, nor that of insuring themselves against economic problems through Pay Commissions which government employees do. The implications will be most severe for agriculture, since after education, it is the area where liberalisation has been the slowest. This restraint on agriculture is liable to pull down the economic growth rate well below its true potential by muzzling the purchasing power of the masses. In sum, the implications for all those Indians who are reading this reflection are: Unless you have compelling economic, social or financial reasons to stay in India, leaving us Bhratwasis and Hindustanis in peace. Or else accept your Bharatwasi/Hindustani identity, and pay your citizenship tax by getting actively involved with the party of your choice, even if it happens to be the saffron mafia. Rahul Bhimjiani 011-31207005 -------------------------------------------------------- * The contents of the article are the ideas of it's author. |
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| << May14, 2004 - [India Thinkers Net]VAJPAYEE TRAMPLED BY BULLOCK CART ECONOMY |
May15, 2004 - [India Thinkers Net]A CONGRESS-COMMUNIST COALITION AUGURS WELL FOR ALL >> |
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