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SmallCapReview News
Special Situation: AMAF
Wall
Street Journal Cites 39% Increase Year to Date in Reverse Mortgage Sales
Nationwide...(AMAF)
For the Full
Profile Please Visit: http://www.smallcapreview.com/amaf.htm
As we detail Amstar??™s future business
expectations, investors should take note of one what may very well be one of the best opportunities in the
current micro cap market. AMAF's stock price has dropped
approximately 40% since mid-November after the company announced third quarter
revenues were $2.43 million against projected revenue of $2.5 million. We feel the
market has strongly overreacted in that the Company missed revenue estimates by
2% but in reality Actual Revenues Were Up 27% versus the same period a year ago.
We think what should have been
viewed as a quarter of improvement in light of the expenses associated with the
new platforms installed was instead viewed as a negative because of a 2%
shortfall in estimated revenue while disregarding the positive 27% growth in
actual revenue. Thus we feel the ensuing sell-off was unwarranted and produces
an excellent buying opportunity for those that thought the AMAF train had left
them behind. In addition, the Company's revenues are up 34% through 9/30/03
compared to the prior year. If that's not enough, AMAF also reported year to
date 2003 earnings improvement of $991,465 as of 9/30/03.
AMAF has been in operation since 1990, with its key operating businesses
dating back to 1985. It went public in 1998, and since then has grown from $50
million in loan production to the neighborhood of $450 million in 2003. It has gone from
one core business (retail loan production) to a balanced mix of retail and
wholesale production, with a secondary marketing effort for additional revenue.
It has been profitable four out of the past five quarters, and expects to report
a significant earnings improvement for the full year to end 12/31/03.
Management
focuses on the business and is quick to adjust and react to changing market
conditions. If you are looking for a small cap stock with an established
business, a growth strategy that recognizes market volatility and has profits as
its primary focus, then take a close look at this little gem. In our opinion
AMAF has reached a floor at $0.14 and may be poised for a break out as its
new platforms put it on the fast track to growth in equity and earnings.
About the Company:
Incorporated in 1990 and consisting of older more
established mortgage companies acquired systematically between 1998 and 2002,
AMAF??™s primary focus is on developing a regional delivery system for mortgage
related products and services. For the past five years, AMAF has experienced
strong growth in loan production, with its 2003 numbers expected to approach
$450 million, an 800% increase over 1998 when the Company first went public.
The Company has grown from one office in Florida to 10 locations in 5 states.
AMAF currently has over 80 employees and many additional correspondents.
The Company has reported GAAP profits in four out of the last five quarters.
These results should be credited toward consistent and singular focus to moving
the Company into consistent profitability.
There are three primary business platforms, and all are either
operating or in the final stages of execution. AMAF operates a major
traditional retail mortgage platform under the name Jupiter Mortgage
Corporation. AMAF operates a specialty reverse mortgage operation for consumers
62 and older, under the name America??™s Senior Financial Services. AMAF also
operates a wholesale business under the name Synergy Mortgage Solutions. Lastly,
AMAF is planning to implement a Branch Partners strategy to be called Amstar
Mortgage Network. The latter is dependant upon receipt of financing, which the
Company has been diligently pursuing from an Institutional Investor.
Management is strong and essentially consists of the founders of
the underlying business units. Nelson Locke is the CEO and the original founder
of AMAF. He is currently the President of one of the nations largest Trade
Groups, and helped found the Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association. Charles Kluck
joined the Company in 1998 and supervises elements of both retail and wholesale.
Michael Buono is the Company??™s operating analyst and secondary marketing
executive, and currently reports directly to the Board regarding recommendations
for improving results at all levels of the business. The Company has one outside
director who has been with them since 1997, and has plans to add another in the
first quarter of 2004. Overall, AMAF has consistency in management and the
principals are vested in the success of the plan.
Growth Strategy:
AMAF plans to continue its growth through three strategies.
However, AMAF seems as intent on bottom line improvement as it is on top line
revenue growth.
First, the Company has certain retail acquisition candidates
under analysis and during 2003 executed preliminary expressions of intent to
acquire their businesses. In order to complete these acquisitions the Company
needs to be adequately funded. While the Company has funding negotiations
underway, there can be no assurances given regarding if or when they will be
concluded. If they are, the acquisitions could add several hundred million
dollars in new loan production to the Company??™s results.
Second, the Company continues to develop its wholesale and
Branch Partners initiatives. Initially, the approach to these two platforms
was somewhat traditional. The Company is currently moving in the direction of a
"virtual wholesale" platform, which would create bottom line expense
savings in excess of $250,000 a year.
Third, with the proper loan production volume and the proper
capitalization, AMAF plans to execute a bulk sales strategy that could
contribute significantly to the earnings of the Company. In 2003, the Company
ventured into the bulk sales arena but was unable to maximize its efforts. In
2004, with the proper funding, the Company estimates that it could take up to
25% of its total loan production to the secondary markets through bulk sales.
This would make a significant contribution to earnings. There can be no
assurances given as to when this effort can become operational as it is
dependent on the Company??™s receipt of adequate financing. Plans are underway
to secure such financing.
Analyzing A Company??™s Market Potential:
1. AMAF recently announced a series of strategic relationships
with small banks and credit unions, which should create revenue for AMAF in 2004
without the usual overhead required by retail loan offices.
2. AMAF has developed several unique specialty products that
make it different from its competitors. For example, the Company recently
announced the development of a limited documentation Construction-to-Permanent
Loan Program. The Company also continues to refine its reverse mortgage delivery
system. Very few Mortgage Bankers are competing for these two niches.
3. Amstar recently announced that despite an Industry slow down,
The Company expects its full year 2003 revenues to approach $10 million, which could
be as much as a 22% increase over the prior year.
4. The Company has a history of improving
operations
and 2003 looks like it will continue that trend. The company has increased
revenues and improved its operating results each year for the past three
consecutive years.
For 2003, the Company has estimated that its operating results
could improve by as much as $900,000. However, despite this positive trend,
management is constantly evaluating expenses structure and operational
efficiency, because consistent profitability and delivering shareholder value is
the Company's goal.
For more
information on AMAF, go to their websites at www.americassenior.com ,
www.jupiter-mortgage.com, or
www.synergy-mortgage.com.
To view the full profile, including recent press
releases and chart for AMAF please visit http://www.smallcapreview.com/amaf.htm
Disclaimer
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News. Information contained in this report was extracted from current documents
filed with the SEC, the Company website and other publicly available sources
deemed reliable. For more information see our disclaimer section, a link of
which can be found on our website. This document contains forward-looking
statements, particularly as related to the business plans of the Company, within
the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Sections 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and are subject to the safe harbor created by
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Financial Services in November 2002 by a third party for its efforts in
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seventy thousand free trading shares of Amstar in April 2003 from a third party.
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