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Subject: SmallCapStocks - December28, 2003



SmallCapReview News

Special Situation: AMAF

Wall Street Journal Cites 39% Increase Year to Date in Reverse Mortgage Sales Nationwide...(AMAF)

For the Full Profile Please Visit: http://www.smallcapreview.com/amaf.htm


As we detail Amstar??™s future business expectations, investors should take note of one what may very well be one of the best opportunities in the current micro cap market. AMAF's stock price has dropped approximately 40% since mid-November after the company announced third quarter revenues were $2.43 million against projected revenue of $2.5 million. We feel the market has strongly overreacted in that the Company missed revenue estimates by 2% but in reality Actual Revenues Were Up 27% versus the same period a year ago.

We think what should have been viewed as a quarter of improvement in light of the expenses associated with the new platforms installed was instead viewed as a negative because of a 2% shortfall in estimated revenue while disregarding the positive 27% growth in actual revenue. Thus we feel the ensuing sell-off was unwarranted and produces an excellent buying opportunity for those that thought the AMAF train had left them behind. In addition, the Company's revenues are up 34% through 9/30/03 compared to the prior year. If that's not enough, AMAF also reported year to date 2003 earnings improvement of $991,465 as of 9/30/03.

AMAF has been in operation since 1990, with its key operating businesses dating back to 1985. It went public in 1998, and since then has grown from $50 million in loan production to the neighborhood of $450 million in 2003. It has gone from one core business (retail loan production) to a balanced mix of retail and wholesale production, with a secondary marketing effort for additional revenue. It has been profitable four out of the past five quarters, and expects to report a significant earnings improvement for the full year to end 12/31/03. 

Management focuses on the business and is quick to adjust and react to changing market conditions. If you are looking for a small cap stock with an established business, a growth strategy that recognizes market volatility and has profits as its primary focus, then take a close look at this little gem. In our opinion AMAF has reached a floor at $0.14 and may be poised for a break out as its new platforms put it on the fast track to growth in equity and earnings. 

About the Company:

Incorporated in 1990 and consisting of older more established mortgage companies acquired systematically between 1998 and 2002, AMAF??™s primary focus is on developing a regional delivery system for mortgage related products and services. For the past five years, AMAF has experienced strong growth in loan production, with its 2003 numbers expected to approach $450 million, an 800% increase over 1998 when the Company first went public. The Company has grown from one office in Florida to 10 locations in 5 states. AMAF currently has over 80 employees and many additional correspondents. The Company has reported GAAP profits in four out of the last five quarters. These results should be credited toward consistent and singular focus to moving the Company into consistent profitability.

There are three primary business platforms, and all are either operating or in the final stages of execution. AMAF operates a major traditional retail mortgage platform under the name Jupiter Mortgage Corporation. AMAF operates a specialty reverse mortgage operation for consumers 62 and older, under the name America??™s Senior Financial Services. AMAF also operates a wholesale business under the name Synergy Mortgage Solutions. Lastly, AMAF is planning to implement a Branch Partners strategy to be called Amstar Mortgage Network. The latter is dependant upon receipt of financing, which the Company has been diligently pursuing from an Institutional Investor.

Management is strong and essentially consists of the founders of the underlying business units. Nelson Locke is the CEO and the original founder of AMAF. He is currently the President of one of the nations largest Trade Groups, and helped found the Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association. Charles Kluck joined the Company in 1998 and supervises elements of both retail and wholesale. Michael Buono is the Company??™s operating analyst and secondary marketing executive, and currently reports directly to the Board regarding recommendations for improving results at all levels of the business. The Company has one outside director who has been with them since 1997, and has plans to add another in the first quarter of 2004. Overall, AMAF has consistency in management and the principals are vested in the success of the plan.

Growth Strategy:

AMAF plans to continue its growth through three strategies. However, AMAF seems as intent on bottom line improvement as it is on top line revenue growth.

First, the Company has certain retail acquisition candidates under analysis and during 2003 executed preliminary expressions of intent to acquire their businesses. In order to complete these acquisitions the Company needs to be adequately funded. While the Company has funding negotiations underway, there can be no assurances given regarding if or when they will be concluded. If they are, the acquisitions could add several hundred million dollars in new loan production to the Company??™s results.

Second, the Company continues to develop its wholesale and Branch Partners initiatives. Initially, the approach to these two platforms was somewhat traditional. The Company is currently moving in the direction of a "virtual wholesale" platform, which would create bottom line expense savings in excess of $250,000 a year.

Third, with the proper loan production volume and the proper capitalization, AMAF plans to execute a bulk sales strategy that could contribute significantly to the earnings of the Company. In 2003, the Company ventured into the bulk sales arena but was unable to maximize its efforts. In 2004, with the proper funding, the Company estimates that it could take up to 25% of its total loan production to the secondary markets through bulk sales. This would make a significant contribution to earnings. There can be no assurances given as to when this effort can become operational as it is dependent on the Company??™s receipt of adequate financing. Plans are underway to secure such financing.

Analyzing A Company??™s Market Potential:

1. AMAF recently announced a series of strategic relationships with small banks and credit unions, which should create revenue for AMAF in 2004 without the usual overhead required by retail loan offices.

2. AMAF has developed several unique specialty products that make it different from its competitors. For example, the Company recently announced the development of a limited documentation Construction-to-Permanent Loan Program. The Company also continues to refine its reverse mortgage delivery system. Very few Mortgage Bankers are competing for these two niches.

3. Amstar recently announced that despite an Industry slow down, The Company expects its full year 2003 revenues to approach $10 million, which could be as much as a 22% increase over the prior year.

4. The Company has a history of improving operations and 2003 looks like it will continue that trend. The company has increased revenues and improved its operating results each year for the past three consecutive years.

For 2003, the Company has estimated that its operating results could improve by as much as $900,000. However, despite this positive trend, management is constantly evaluating expenses structure and operational efficiency, because consistent profitability and delivering shareholder value is the Company's goal.

For more information on AMAF, go to their websites at www.americassenior.com , www.jupiter-mortgage.com, or www.synergy-mortgage.com.


To view the full profile, including recent press releases and chart for AMAF please visit http://www.smallcapreview.com/amaf.htm


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer

SmallCapReview.com feature stock reports are intended to be stock ideas, NOT recommendations. Please do your own research before investing. It is crucial that you at least look at current SEC filings and read the latest press releases. For continuing coverage of  AMAF please sign up for our free newsletter, SmallCapReview.com News. Information contained in this report was extracted from current documents filed with the SEC, the Company website and other publicly available sources deemed reliable. For more information see our disclaimer section, a link of which can be found on our website. This document contains forward-looking statements, particularly as related to the business plans of the Company, within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Sections 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and are subject to the safe harbor created by these sections. Actual results may differ materially from the Company's expectations and estimates. This is an advertisement for the above mentioned companies. The purpose of this advertisement, like any advertising, is to provide coverage and awareness for the above mentioned companies. The information provided in this advertisement is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject us to any registration requirement within such jurisdiction or country. 

Copyright SmallCapReview.com. All rights reserved. SmallCapReview.com is not a Registered Broker/Dealer or Financial Advisor, nor do we hold ourselves out to be. All materials presented on our website and individual reports released to the public through this website, e-mail or any other means of transmission are not to be regarded as investment advice and are only for informative purposes. Before making a purchase or sale of any securities featured on our website or mentioned in our reports, we strongly encourage and recommend consultation with a registered securities representative. This is not to be construed as a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell securities. As with any stock, companies we select to profile involve a degree of investment risk and volatility, particularly Small-Caps and OTC-BB stocks. All investors are cautioned that they may lose all or a portion of their investment if they decide to make a purchase in any of our profiled companies. Past performance of our profiled stocks is not indicative of future results. The accuracy or completeness of the information on our website or within our reports is only as reliable as the sources they were obtained from. The profile and opinions expressed herein are expressed as of the date the profile is posted on site and are subject to change without notice. No investor should assume that reliance on the views, opinions or recommendations contained herein will produce profitable results. SmallCapReview.com may hold positions in securities mentioned herein, and may make purchases or sales in such securities featured on our website or within our reports. In order to be in full compliance with the Securities Act of 1933, Section 17(b), SmallCapReview.com will disclose in its disclaimer, what, if any compensation was received for our efforts in researching, presenting and disseminating this information to our subscriber database and featuring the report on the SmallCapReview.com website. SmallCapReview.com was compensated two hundred eighty three thousand free trading shares of Amstar Financial Services in November 2002 by a third party for its efforts in presenting the Amstar profile on its web site and distributing it to its database of subscribers. SmallCapReview.com received an additional one hundred seventy thousand free trading shares of Amstar in April 2003 from a third party. SmallCapReview.com received an additional eighty thousand free trading shares of Amstar in November 2003 from a third party. SmallCapReview.com may decide to purchase or sell shares on a voluntary basis in the open market before, during or after the profiling period of this report. Information presented on our website and within our reports contains "forward looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, goals, assumptions or future events or performance are not statements of historical fact and may be "forward looking statements." Forward looking statements are based on expectations, estimates and projections at the time the statements are made that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those presently anticipated. Forward looking statements in this action may be identified through the use of words such as ???expects??™???, ???will,??? ???anticipates,??? ???estimates, ???believes,??? or that by statements indicating certain actions ???may,??? ???could,??? or ???might??? occur. 

THE READER SHOULD VERIFY ALL CLAIMS AND DO THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE INVESTING IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED. INVESTING IN SMALL CAP SECURITIES IS SPECULATIVE AND CARRIES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK. 

We encourage our readers to invest carefully and read the investor information available at the websites of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) at: http://www.sec.gov and/or the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) at: http://www.nasd.com. Readers can review all public filings by companies at the SEC's EDGAR page. The NASD has published information on how to invest carefully at its website.

 









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